Getting scarred and winning lotteries: effects of exemplar cuing and statistical format on imagining low‐probability events

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منابع مشابه

Getting Scarred and Winning Lotteries: Effects of Exemplar Cuing and Statistical Format on Imagining Low-Probability Eventsy

Three experiments tested the exemplar cuing and frequency format accounts of how the ‘imaginability’ of low-probability events is enhanced. The experiments manipulated imaginability by varying the statistics used to describe negative (e.g. being scarred as a result of laser surgery) and positive (e.g. winning a lottery) low-probability events. The results strongly supported the frequency format...

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Comments on "Getting Scarred and Winning Lotteries: Effects of Exemplar Cuing and Statistical Format on Imagining Low-Probability Events," By Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (2008)

Newell, Mitchell, and Hayes (NMH) conduct three experiments designed to test whether exemplar cuing (EC) theory or a statistical format theory provides a more accurate account for how people make judgments about low-probability events. They report finding support for the statistical format theory and little or no support for EC. However, NMHmisstate the requirements for the production of exempl...

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Imagining Low Probability Events: Contrasting Exemplar Cuing and Frequency Format Accounts

The extent to which a low probability event can be imagined appears to increase the weight attached to the possibility of that event occurring. Two experiments tested contrasting accounts of how this ‘imagability’ of events is enhanced. The experiments used negative (e.g. suffering the side effect of a vaccine) and positive (e.g. winning a lottery) low probability events. Both experiments found...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

سال: 2008

ISSN: 0894-3257,1099-0771

DOI: 10.1002/bdm.584